MATIC clears July gains – when is recovery likely? 

MATIC clears July gains – when is recovery likely? 

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • MATIC’s pullback hit July lows, clearing all recent gains.
  • But buying volumes increased over the weekend.

The bearish sentiment from mid-July still looms in early August. Over this period, Bitcoin’s [BTC] price action has weakened, exposing most altcoins to reverse July gains. In particular, Polygon [MATIC] shed over 25% after prices slumped from $0.89 to around $0.65 (July lows). 


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However, MATIC saw renewed interest after retesting the July lows over the weekend (5-6 August). Despite the little spike in MATIC demand, BTC struggled to hold on to $29.0k, and extra losses could expose MATIC bulls to risk. 

Will the 38.2% Fib level hold?

Source: MATIC/USDT on TradingView

A Fibonacci retracement tool was placed between the June low and July high. Based on the tool, the 50% Fib level ($0.70) failed to hold the pullback. So far, 38.2% Fib level ($0.655) has been retested twice as support. 

At the time of writing, MATIC bounced from the 38.2% Fib level. But the higher timeframe market structure was still bearish. However, with the weak BTC, a price rejection was feasible at the 50% Fib level ($0.70). 

Below the 38.2% Fib lies bullish order blocks on the daily and weekly charts. The daily order block has been honored once and could ease further price slump if the 38.2% Fib level support cracks. So, the 38.2% and 23.6% Fib levels are key interest levels for bulls. 

The Relative Strength Index and Chaikin Money Flow readings were below crucial thresholds – a negative at the time of writing. It implies weak buying pressure and capital inflows, suggesting the 50% Fib level could act as a roadblock unless BTC front a strong recovery above $29.5k. 

More buying volumes over the weekend

Source: CryptoMeter (MATIC Metrics on 6 August)

Despite the negative price chart readings, the overall MATIC’s metrics in the spot market registered a renewed demand over the weekend. 


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According to CryptoMeter, the buy volume surpassed the sell volume at the time of writing. But the overall volume dip by over 40% could complicate further advance by bulls. 

Nevertheless, the futures market also registered an uptick in demand over the weekend. According to Coinalyze, the Open Interest rates jumped from $122 million to over $127 million as CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) surged. 

Source: Coinalyze

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